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Monday, September 1, 2008

China and Democracy?

Since the victory of Mao Ze-dong's communist forces in 1949, the Chinese mainland has been ruled by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Although other minor political parties exist, they are authorized by the CCP to operate under their leadership and are effectively powerless. No independently organized and established political organs are tolerated in the People's Republic of China (PRC). In China the CCP runs the PRC.

So who runs the CCP? It is really important for Americans to understand that China is run by twenty-four people who comprise the CPC Central Committee Political Bureau Standing Committee (CPCCCPBSC). The CPCCCPBSC is self-perpetuating (e.g. non-democratic) and meet weekly. Decisions are made by consensus not majority vote.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politburo_of_the_Communist_Party_of_China

Your interests and my interests are of no concern to them. Only their own interests are. They have allowed a degree of openness to accomplish political, economic, and military objectives and this openness is expected to continue as long as it enriches and empowers them.

They fully intend to keep things as they are and not transition into a republic, democracy, or any other different form of government. Both the "soothing scenario of gradual change" and the "upheaval scenario of sudden change" preached in the American mainstream media are patently false.

Each time the people have dared to agitate for a change of government (the best known example was in Tiananmen Square), the response was to send in the military, law enforcement, and secret police organs and violently put down the challenge with finality (even farmer protests were violently squashed with much loss of life and long prison terms).

This government once democided up to 70 million of their own people (under Mao) and if it ever becomes necessary, the CPCCCPBSC that controls all of China and ultimately all of China's interests around the world will issue the order to do so again. They are seeking to transform China into the most powerful country in the world, but under their control and form of government.

Americans shouldn't deceive themselves otherwise.

What Americans should be considering is that a small committee, which ultimately controls all power in China, killed 70 million of their own people last century (and would do so again if they believed it was necessary for them to retain their power) and working toward global supremacy of their own and China's interests to replace us as the dominant power on earth exercising both legitimate and illegitimate means while U.S. politicians working in partnership with special interests enrich themselves at the American people's and the national interests' expense helping China accomplish it.

Despite continued political repression, the stance of US elitists remain unchanged. They dismiss the reality that China, a growing economic powerhouse and our future rival, appears bent on realizing economic growth while maintaining a one party authoritarian Communist system of government.

As James Mann points out in The China Fantasy:

"For their own different reasons, the U.S. government and American (or multinational) corporations are eager to conduct as much business as possible with China. In order to do this, they have sought to minimize the core issues of repression of dissent and China's one-party political system. Whenever Chinese leadership carries out a new campaign of arresting dissidents or closing down newspapers, both engage in ‘The Soothing Scenario’ either turning a blind eye or seeking to minimize the persecution and government led beatings of political dissenters, journalists, religious adherents, union activists, lawyers, citizen activists, and non-government sanctioned organizations or the Upheaval Scenario that eventually things will reach a breaking point and China will have to adjust."

China is not headed for democracy but will retain their repressive one-party political system. Interestingly, this doesn't seem to bother international business persons or government leaders from the West. In fact, they capitulate to it so they can keep manufacturing there.

The China Fantasy lays out the two scenarios taught to the American public by the elitists today. One asserts that China is headed in the right direction and predict that China will become ever more open politically as well as economically. The other scenario is that China is headed for a period of collapse. Both of these are unlikely; however, and Mann suggests a Third Scenario:

"It is this: What if China manages to continue on its current economic path, yet its political system does not change in any fundamental way? What if, twenty-five or thirty years from now, a wealthier, more powerful China continues to be run by a one-party regime that still represses organized political dissent much as it does today, while at the same time China is also open to the outside world and, indeed, is deeply intertwined with the rest of the world through trade, investment, and other economic ties?"

The truth is that whenever the regime has been even mildly threatened by political unrest, it has responded with force followed by propaganda that political upheaval cannot be allowed to disturb the Chinese economy; "Unity and stability are the overarching themes for the country and the people's wishes . . . ," says the People's Daily. And it is important to understand that China's emerging urban middle class is a minute proportion of the country's overall population: far smaller than in Taiwan or South Korea. It is also important to realize that we sell more US manufactured goods to Belgium, a country of just over 6 million people, than to all of China a country with 1.3 billion people.

As Mann states:

"Because Chinese Communist Party leaders don't like to acknowledge that they intend to maintain their monopoly on power, they sometimes tell visitors they, too, believe in democracy, that this is the ultimate goal China, and that it is all merely a question of timing. The idealistic and hopelessly gullible simply believe what they are told to never seeing the signs that the regime makes clear its tenacious hostility to the idea of political pluralism in China."

China makes it clear that they are expanding economically for profit; however, will remain a one-party authoritarian state that prohibits organized political opposition to the Chinese Communist Party and will continue to implement protectionist measures.

So the current political system will remain intact and there will be no significant political opposition, no freedom of the press, and no elections beyond the local level (which can be dismantled at any time by a single edict from Communist party headquarters). There will; however, continue to be an active security apparatus to forestall organized political dissent. China will grow rich and strong but will not change its political system in any fundamental way.

As Mann points out, "These days, the police don't wait for protests in China's major cities to gather momentum; they stop them much earlier. China remains politically stable in part because the repression is speedier and more thorough now than it was in 1989."

The Leninist system will remain intact: Internet or no Internet. Unlike the Soviets whose economy failed transforming the country: the Chinese will be flush. And who can say what ambitions they will pursue once China is rich and strong.

For now the People's Republic of China (PRC) continues political repression yet avoids any actions leading to military conflict. As Mann points out, "Chinese leaders seem to have learned the lesson from the Soviet Union that they should avoid any direct, prolonged, cold war-style confrontation with the United States."

However, over a billion people continue to be repressed by a Communist Party with a long, unsavory, violence-prone history, a love of its own privileges, and a weakness for corruption. And this political ideology China exports to dictatorships the world over today and launches well funded ideological campaigns in the West and in China causing visitors to China come home with a picture of the country that is skewed. Mann asserts that:

"If, over the next thirty years, China maintains its current political system, then its resolute hostility to democracy will have an impact in places like Egypt, Syria, and Saudi Arabia. A permanently authoritarian China could also undermine Russia's already diminishing commitment to democracy."

The China Fantasy lays out a series of assumptions that elitists use to decide what subjects and themes will be emphasized and which will be downplayed or ignored. These assumptions are critical to understanding the relationship between the USA and China and it is highly recommended that readers purchase The China Fantasy by James Mann and study them. And do so before the Olympics this year as Mann wisely predicts how China and the world will approach the games to be hosted in China in 2008.

Mann asks the question "Who is integrating who?". The truth is that America has been operating with the wrong paradigm for China. China's real long-term strategy is to outrace America and the EU countries to world dominance and then exercise that position to spread their political ideology. Day after day, American officials carry out policies based upon premises about China's future that are at best questionable and at worst downright false as China emerges as a model of enduring, prosperous authoritarianism.

Excerpts from Reference:

Mann, J. (2008) The China Fantasy: Why capitalism will not bring democracy to China. New York: Penguin Group.

07/01/2013 Update:

Despite making provision for freedom of religion in the Chinese Constitution (article 36 added in 1978), China has never really honored it.

So it should come as no surprise that in 2012, China's government launched a new three-phase campaign to wipe out unregistered house churches which they view as a hostile group of dissenters and force them to join the official Three-Self Patriotic Movement (TSPM) church system controlled by China's government and whose "theology" entails a great deal of actual heresy no genuine Christian could ever adhere to.

In the first phase, from January 2012 to June 2012, the State Administration for Religious Affairs (SARA) sent out a large number of government spies and secretly investigated house churches across the country and created files on them. This was followed by a wave of crackdowns, which is ongoing right now, as part of the second phase.

The vast majority of Christians have resisted and refused to join the government's authorized "Christian" church.

With little exception, the mainstream liberal media is refusing to cover these blatant human rights violations occurring in China.

Phase three is expected to begin from 2015 through to 2025 and the Chinese government intends to put Christians under their boot using government force much like Mao did in 1958.

Persecution has come to China's Christians and severe persecution is coming shortly.

The metaphysical worldview of Marxism is state atheism and every Marxist country without exception has engaged in sweeping persecution of religious people on a regular basis as a result.

It's impossible to have true freedom of religion in a nation built on the principles of state atheism.

The U.S. will see an increase in Christian refugees from China but the vast majority will continue to be non-Christian with most loyal to China.

Chinese persecution, oppression, and suppression of human rights is about to get a lot uglier in the years ahead.

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